Lucknow: Heavy to very heavy rainfall spell likely over southwest Peninsular India and heavy rainfall over Northeast & adjoining east India during next 5 days.
Realised weather during past 24 hours till 0830 hours IST of today
✓ Heavy to very heavy rainfall with extremely heavy falls occurred at isolated places over Meghalaya;
Heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places over Gujarat Region, Konkan & Goa, West Bengal & Sikkim,
Bihar, East Uttar Pradesh; Heavy rainfall at isolated places over Rajasthan, Uttarakhand, West Uttar
Pradesh, East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Odisha, Madhya Maharashtra, Coastal
Andhra Pradesh, Coastal Karnataka, Assam and Andaman & Nicobar Islands.
Weather Systems
✓ The Monsoon trough is north of its normal position at mean sea level.
✓ The off-shore trough runs along south Gujarat-north Kerala coasts at mean sea level.
✓ A cyclonic circulation over East Bihar and another over northeast Assam & a trough runs from northeast
Assam to northwest Bay of Bengal in lower tropospheric levels.
Forecast & Warnings
❖ West and South Peninsular India
✓ Fairly widespread to widespread light to moderate rainfall accompanied with thunderstorm &
lightning very likely over Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Kerala & Mahe, Lakshadweep,
Karnataka, Gujarat state; scattered to fairly widespread light to moderate rainfall over Coastal Andhra
Pradesh & Yanam, Telangana, Marathwada, Rayalaseema; isolated to scattered light to moderate
rainfall over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal during next 5 days.
✓ Heavy rainfall very likely at some places over Konkan & Goa; at isolated places over Ghat regions of
Madhya Maharashtra, Karnataka, Gujarat Region, Telangana during 12th-16th; Rayalaseema on 14th &
15th; Saurashtra & Kutch on 12th & 16th and over Lakshadweep on 12th July.
✓ Isolated very heavy rainfall also likely overKonkan & Goa, Ghat regions of Madhya Maharashtra
during 12th-16th; Kerala, Coastal & South Interior Karnataka during 13th-16th July, Gujarat
region on 12th and Gujarat State on 16th July.
❖ East & Northeast India
✓ Fairly widespread to widespread light to moderate rainfall accompanied with thunderstorm, lightning
very likely over East and Northeast India during next 5 days.
✓ Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over Assam & Meghalaya, Odisha during 12th–16th; SubHimalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Bihar, Arunachal Pradesh during 12th-14th; Gangetic West Bengal on
12th; Jharkhand on 12th & 13th; Andaman & Nicobar Islands on 13th & 14th; Nagaland and Manipur on
12th, 14th & 15th July.
2
✓ Isolated very heavy rainfall also likely over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Bihar,
Arunachal Pradesh on 12th; Nagaland on 14th and Odisha on 15th & 16th July.
✓ Isolated extremely heavy rainfall very likely over Meghalaya on 12th July.
❖ Northwest & Central India
✓ Fairly widespread to widespread light to moderate rainfall accompanied with thunderstorm &
lightning very likely over Uttarakhand, Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh; scattered to fairly
widespread light to moderate rainfall over Himachal Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, East Rajasthan during
next 5 days and over Punjab and Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi on 12th & 13th July. Isolated to scattered
rainfall likely over Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad and West Rajasthan during
next 5 days.
✓ Isolated heavy rainfall very likely over Uttarakhand, East Uttar Pradesh during 12th-16th; Chhattisgarh
during 12th-15th; West Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh during 12th-14th; Punjab, Haryana and
Jammu on 12th; Himachal Pradesh on 12th & 13th; East Rajasthan on 12th & 16th and Vidarbha during
14th-16th July.
